10 Predictions for 2009

January 6, 2009

Everyone else does one so I might as well too…..

1. Economy will start to show signs of turing around at the end of Q3. Overall GDP  growth will be 2% for the year ending. Not before some knee jerk layoff decisions.

2. Circuit City, Linen and Things, Shaper Image, etc….will not be missed. Sales will go elsewhere ie Best Buy.

3. Netbook sales will increase but by Q4 notebook sales will also grow as individuals decide to graduate to a real laptop.

4. At the first approval polling of Obama, most will be unsatisfied with the job that he is doing. Americans have no patience. (Assumes 180 days on the job)

5. Housing prices will continue to decline and the Government will develop an incentive package to help spur demand. This package will not help stop the slide in prices but will help sales of homes.

6. Blu-Ray players will drop to $150, prices of the discs will come down as well to help spur demand. Digital downloads of movies will see a record year.

7. WiMax will struggle to gain adoption in the US, growth overseas will meet expectations .

8. Flickr will be sold off from Yahoo!

9. iPhone rev 3 will be meh. Larger capacity but nothing new that grabs a greater marketshare.

10. At some point I will break my 250GB limit per month from Comcast.

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